Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Ascent Las Vegas
decks
10
(3.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
78
36-37-5
overall winrate
49.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.7%
avg ELO -0.4 per match
expected value
48.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1344
· median 1374
· range 1109–1517
(10 pilots with an ELO rating)
994
Q1 1218
Q3 1417
1694
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
20% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Razorgale | 9.8% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 66.4% | +9.4 |
| Water Genbu | 5.8% | 7 | 4-3-0 | 57.1% | 54.5% | 46.8% | -1.6 |
| Fire Oblation | 5.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 38.9% | -10.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.2% | 9 | 3-6-0 | 33.3% | 38.5% | 45.0% | -2.3 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.6% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 34.5% | -11.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.0% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 83.0% | +24.6 |
| Water Exia | 4.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 52.3% | +2.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.0% | 6 | 5-1-0 | 83.3% | 70.0% | 70.0% | +10.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.7% | 5 | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 35.3% | -8.4 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.4% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 40.1% | -5.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.4% | 5 | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 24.7% | -14.6 |
| Water Fractal | 3.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.5 |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.3% | -4.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.9% | +11.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 27.8% | -21.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.8% | +7.7 |
| Fire Suited | 2.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.6% | -2.3 |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 30.4% | -31.4 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.8% | -2.1 |
| Fire Exia | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.6% | +17.0 |
| Chess | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.6 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.3 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.2% | -22.1 |
| Fire Arcane | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.2 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 0.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.0% | +2.9 |
| Water Tera Diao Chan | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 0.6% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 64.0% | +10.4 |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.3 |
| Wind Neos | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.3% | +21.3 |
| Wind Slimes | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Alice | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arisanna | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crescendo | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Silvie | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Byakko | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Chess | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 10 from this event
The 10 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
